Guam happened yesterday and broke down to 50-50; but with only four delegates, one candidate would've had to have won 75% over the other to eke out an extra delegate.
The above screen shot shows that even if Clinton wins 69% of the vote in each remaining state, Obama still wins by 5 delegates.
This screen shot shows that if Clinton wins each remaining state by 70% of the vote, only then does she win by 4 delegates. The fact of the matter, however, is that she is NOT GOING TO WIN by anything even approaching 69% of the vote, let alone 70%. She might win West Virginia and Kentucky by close to 60%, however, every time she wins a state by less than 70%, each remaining state needs to be won by something higher than 70%.
Even if she wins every single remaining contest, she needs to win by 70% or more to end up with more pledged delegates than Obama. Add the fact that Obama is favored to win North Carolina and Oregon, add the fact that Indiana is probably going to be closer to 50-50 than 70-30, add the fact that the only state Clinton has won in this entire election by 70% was Arkansas and it becomes apparent that this scenario just isn't going to happen - yet the MEDIA is still acting like this is a close race. It's not.
The only "if" in this race are the Democratic Party's super-delegates, and as time goes on, it is becoming less and less likely that they are interested in propping up a candidate who couldn't even win the primary for the general election.
The problem is, in the meantime Bill and Hillary Clinton are out there stumping and pandering, and essentially labeling the inevitable Democratic presidential nominee as an "out-of-touch," "liberal eltist," etc. etc. etc. These attacks serve no purpose at this point but to encourage the so-called "white working class voters" to vote Republican in the fall, because these attacks ARE NOT going to win the nomination for Hillary Clinton in the short term.
She can't win. The primary race is over. She lost. If she wants to stay in the race until the very end, that's hypothetically fine, but all she is doing at this point is tearing down the Democratic presidential candidate, the Democratic Party-lead congress and, therefore, the Democratic Party itself. If that is going to be what she and Bill do, then the Democratic Party super-delegates should have no qualms about moving en masse towards Obama until he has the 2025 total delegates needed to shut her out of the race.
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